![FOF组合基金(第2版):大数据金融丛书](https://wfqqreader-1252317822.image.myqcloud.com/cover/460/25462460/b_25462460.jpg)
其他
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0002.jpg?sign=1739251724-EX9XKsBdxeXhG0Z7oC6Nx31kBwgSejNd-0-9e38cd16cdc8a8d3a086a4e815dfc39b)
图1.12 中国台湾地区FOF统计数据
数据来源:Bloomberg,星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0003.jpg?sign=1739251724-K68Ny3z1m9PdLTeS0kSGvxfUc6XgpISg-0-2d6d9a0b5820b8da58bbcc9e576e4e33)
图1.25 桥水全天候基金的走势图
数据来源:Bridgewater,星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0004.jpg?sign=1739251724-VGAzhoXa4J4dzMP1383St8qq4xUIRGLi-0-02532d42b8adb85f2eda1aabc7f2433b)
图3.13 耶鲁基金模式资产配置
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0005.jpg?sign=1739251724-aoVHHD1DFHpb8DAzJWnwOdEnpkRLVJWy-0-1ab0f622da09488f4e7c5dc7bb9c5457)
图3.16 耶鲁基金表现情况
数据来源:星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0006.jpg?sign=1739251724-GfqeRv23483NGJKvXGTcxkFtNhZUZeh0-0-8dd1521528692b2902b41fb3871b96d5)
图3.22 从1926年7月到2013年8月美股四大板块的收益率走势对比
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0007.jpg?sign=1739251724-e3zcSPNi1VR5l6803j7pLNquofjkIKYp-0-649ee13e553db9029bc72daa27f6266a)
图3.26 先锋平衡指数基金历史表现
资料来源:先锋公司官网
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0008.jpg?sign=1739251724-oeWPnxtQxJnVmswfsvyoGRAtZO5AIwRM-0-0e2c62857104c70408188091951d56ae)
图3.30 多资产ETF跟踪指数走势历史表现对比
资料来源:彭博
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0009.jpg?sign=1739251724-gGxtkUQblwHXPLAVOZuM5WismUa1nC2h-0-7e874568e31993b45ce1e3da45267327)
图4.3 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(年度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0010.jpg?sign=1739251724-26PdFiaEUEqx1OkksyDpSS303GHjFM2G-0-0d725b0defca386ac628e0aecf3c826a)
图4.4 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(季度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0011.jpg?sign=1739251724-wy4MDJ9YvO4xIbOEE1HNdphMjtfgGfm1-0-801658343e75ff2d501d88c53773605e)
图4.5 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(月度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0012.jpg?sign=1739251724-9ThH1GeXKVNh9qxULfYBRfWoXiwgjrAR-0-50c01ab9ec88e621767cd5a7062ee4b2)
图4.6 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(两周调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0013.jpg?sign=1739251724-mN3Mu0ADpaHUYhDhvv6qg6uSnlN1SYAD-0-78da41dfc80c6a9bdba589c7e48225f6)
图4.7 基于价值因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0014.jpg?sign=1739251724-lXYv0uGMCZi4rJQY9IkmTsrCWGtQCtEv-0-3e23a08561cc2416969ee9789fbcf5d2)
图4.8 基于成长因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0015.jpg?sign=1739251724-Cii87dj9snm38DHxPteKTUqlgeTQ61s4-0-4ad6ae044fb4208564988c58e617596b)
图4.9 基于质量因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0016.jpg?sign=1739251724-VOZPLcLbuJTW2FojobapNteZv7ioRuJU-0-10a2b7c6a397691f82d76a952d841af9)
图4.10 基于股息因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0017.jpg?sign=1739251724-Mg6M3WDyyzBclBEBK2BeEhbcP7MtCNQp-0-703bc50dca2e0e68e19483083ede42b7)
图4.11 基于规模因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0018.jpg?sign=1739251724-7o694pS2oz9FyRcUfS3W0CAgaNAuAjY0-0-039370f7258cc69fc853b42799c5faff)
图4.12 基于动量因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0019.jpg?sign=1739251724-hrqPUocWdqfMDtNxih7aDh7VAMHlSvKw-0-01278290b3c7d79e4eca4097212b1475)
图4.13 基于反转因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0020.jpg?sign=1739251724-dpR2wIV7guNomedGrmEsXh9PZsq16iSo-0-97c30d6a236580fcc5bc46d8e6fc2eac)
图4.14 基于分析师预期因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0021.jpg?sign=1739251724-e3tqKgomE3A6zUS7BytaPDT2jX6hCeFe-0-49dde9c4fbe729c4b6e4b470c755dc03)
图4.15 基于情绪因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0022.jpg?sign=1739251724-VXzdKdkLRw6MQXWfON6rhZuLdv4yIIUH-0-3948d3843f09bcbb74cddadf47af5335)
图4.16 基于人气指标因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0023.jpg?sign=1739251724-LdmChjrW3H5RuQcLpJPlk8iZGeRdY6rE-0-c5cd63158852126513272b61e4e52b44)
图4.17 基于波动因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0010-0024.jpg?sign=1739251724-ScdNuLcMlvkzFvKNgRyDdq4erFlVtcgu-0-175806faf0a514f0139a56e818510692)
图4.19 基于多因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0010-0025.jpg?sign=1739251724-4l1sg6WhEYm5xAcTYfdFRNIKkMG4hoB4-0-7826ec1efca065f2f8419e9736916485)
图4.20 回测净值曲线图(含货币型基金指数)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0026.jpg?sign=1739251724-xhgaDbpvzNZNDuOcZocJvkJzSSr7mbdl-0-4844072214665e91a4772bde24a828d2)
图4.21 回测净值曲线图(剔除货币型基金指数)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0027.jpg?sign=1739251724-IC3pd1zFALVYnsY3x9mglCUQB9PqjiHT-0-ff2501e07f48b4716bb0444c1f756331)
图5.6 火鸡策略曲线
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0028.jpg?sign=1739251724-QsK1tsw1nFEgziKI4HBmJ1ZntDbVjdQh-0-8a3470dcefc82225e82a3f675d4fbd22)
图5.20 市场情绪指标择时策略
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0029.jpg?sign=1739251724-1D1TzjFUXHCCfJJwEyn2RfCG4Muxjwq2-0-86b9e10e6d3fe2dec2231c28fcfdd95c)
图5.30 各资产净值走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0030.jpg?sign=1739251724-8B46waFeC96PX5LwO7HnCL6J01DYLU5n-0-341cc5391f280a94d71ef98095d98f43)
图6.1 大类资产时间序列动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0031.jpg?sign=1739251724-Tf2m4s9aEehPHJQddUFNkgaIa8cDtcVa-0-49614797b71d3c53d940b72b89a13cd3)
图6.3 大类资产横截面动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0032.jpg?sign=1739251724-WIO3nZagbBNzf4irnkVZxOs0kR9uc6sJ-0-f9d4009902752ec5ae6e8e5db3562212)
图6.4 改进的横截面动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0033.jpg?sign=1739251724-NRwQWQA9I3J0hn9wVgeHJd0TjqA9KOsX-0-cc440b786450a7008bdb92d4bc48cb44)
图6.5 时间序列动量与横截面动量的叠加
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0034.jpg?sign=1739251724-C8eO09EuARg6C9f4hjDlhlLEB64DOP24-0-3cfd36ab87e384d4091b4b110b7554a4)
图6.15 奇异谱模型回测结果
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0035.jpg?sign=1739251724-slColz5ioaiZRZPcnp6FEgyVCefZS6Cu-0-f54218c2ad28b89093642476dd68def2)
图6.16 申万一级行业指数单季度涨跌幅统计(%)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0036.jpg?sign=1739251724-BzKKE0TCTF98hm2Yz1wFVCSr0y3Relhj-0-e06498fa138769b492457e9dfddabc98)
图6.21 多期风格雷达——大摩多因子策略(数据日期:2015年4月)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0037.jpg?sign=1739251724-5EPdn8RovFVLjKkoAYLoFAxcZ1F3Cfkx-0-2bafbe65b1a6f0b27c1578c658b23473)
图6.22 基于风格雷达的FOF表现(数据 日 期:2014/12—2016/1)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0038.jpg?sign=1739251724-jCajf29OU4E9lOad5bk993pof5tMlS44-0-51d21031e53bc7501b30ffdc8807ccc9)
图6.24 某只基金的半年、季、月频风格画像
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0039.jpg?sign=1739251724-h78dT8j5JcEOcHodPLmq4uzgT1V4y3P2-0-dc9c3cf8caa391972e97ef76820a8718)
图6.28 策略净值曲线
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0040.jpg?sign=1739251724-jU42hMKIgjJtXtbMLHLvkLqkrD2vezUW-0-872adab8525fe7d5648419d9e223466e)
图6.30 策略被选基金统计
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0041.jpg?sign=1739251724-w4HMCCPgMBJ0m5yVMQSQvBblHWgbURvr-0-3d73ca7b15a962ff05f141250a9d3c21)
图6.38 沪深300指数(大盘指数)、中证500指数(中小盘指数)和中证1000指数(小盘指数)走势图对比
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0042.jpg?sign=1739251724-wIEKmueKS55p3ac2jiZ4vLcRcaQN30gW-0-6184ef65e8423b0b9a983656f6051f6c)
图6.40 标准二分类Logistic模型轮动策略收益率
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0043.jpg?sign=1739251724-hVKtyla0xb2cNxjEHaNjag37EFKhO01o-0-425e5760e6600a39c22db33778901095)
图6.41 有序多分类Logistic模型轮动策略收益率
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0044.jpg?sign=1739251724-E4KkK1v8M2xyXMHSqUUhAfGYI5fDRmKD-0-fda6dae12c0663bd9c7e305ecbe7910d)
图7.4 国外目标日期策略指数的配置变化
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0045.jpg?sign=1739251724-bGNcHtHSXXLw7Y89CdsmHlcPyB2ZvTOX-0-f7bd613231f9189f014edf03d4db014f)
图7.9 中证平安2025退休宝指数走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0046.jpg?sign=1739251724-NyQpxZMHpTh4K04JILE9qxnTPSu08g84-0-3053ffc660af51857e323dd7792c324b)
图7.13 标普500每日风险控制系列指数走势图
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0047.jpg?sign=1739251724-1wFHjZKMTnOQ0ae5953T2eeM70MOchyD-0-70e590ed84faaae78b41ad8e695cc0e2)
图7.14 标普目标风险系列指数走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0048.jpg?sign=1739251724-yLf7SY6IIa8PhywvbueR6JFBGY8gXDjY-0-4421d2afab67b6b67697b858a10dc85d)
图8.11 对冲基金FOF的模拟业绩
数据来源:Risk Parity Portfolios with Risk Factors
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0049.jpg?sign=1739251724-IQMyH9vxmH2fNMNeHflYbEoXADv8vnUF-0-c35483f229c36639c8c3f2c0c92b3060)
图9.7 2000—2015年总体基金的资产配置变化图
数据来源:星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0050.jpg?sign=1739251724-PdEs2nzWaO6Iu3UD9LZSG5q61Ebl8Yyt-0-b28a610f58452047c771d4a63a4880f6)
图11.1 多因子模型的收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0051.jpg?sign=1739251724-H7tZCeuuCQ3pV0JIDFE9nm2cYcwTYnj4-0-2222180bc58f5234e411748cfc56e528)
图11.2 大/小盘风格轮动策略收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0052.jpg?sign=1739251724-EztDxYixS4LX4N7l9wCcpJtV1Ii1p1G7-0-5d52971d12c023dc51edd576ef15f924)
图11.3 顺周期行业轮动策略的收益率图示
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0053.jpg?sign=1739251724-vMFhFDg9CbQSVdhzPw0dD5iULA8ndVVC-0-a4417f495df8a6b44a30458e350ee90b)
图11.7 2006年一致预期EPS相对于2005年实际EPS的增速
数据来源:[谢江 2008]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0054.jpg?sign=1739251724-a7Gvahhfv5fUF0Vm3N73iNcZeXVMk0ih-0-b330d35084b537f3f0f05b4249bf4f2e)
图11.8 不同一致预期指标的收益率曲线
数据来源:[卜永强 2012]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0055.jpg?sign=1739251724-GoCAazczR6CBv9wkxjxxtQKUzyOXzUrA-0-27b9604f5f6bb401ba882ee59796e85e)
图11.9 筹码选股模型中单个指标在不同年份的收益率情况
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0056.jpg?sign=1739251724-6l9EEvQQqSmh5sJrQOfRVHKeZHpGQ8FL-0-15cafb304b88a11782e527ff30480966)
图11.10 筹码选股模型中单个指标的收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0057.jpg?sign=1739251724-1cOAZ0JjLwEm0QptODAwUwXcv3jcSgLE-0-4efd7a7d506a3bff970230c33f16c886)
图11.15 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图2004.1.2—2007.3.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0058.jpg?sign=1739251724-D5TSBhiXvaCKJv0q4l0I4T0T6UvPdmT3-0-5b3ab0b242ea1918699525146dac0b31)
图11.16 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图(2004.1.2—2005.12.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0059.jpg?sign=1739251724-HYbzgRWliMwv9RLxUoxg7imdemq7XDQC-0-3c73c71dc2d89cf64eea66e97c9894b9)
图11.17 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图(2006.1.4—2007.3.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0060.jpg?sign=1739251724-CAaXgdUs6LRob80RJeCeA9Xx1jS5rIK4-0-7447cd95415b94eb61308345aae88b18)
图11.31 正向基差套利原理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0061.jpg?sign=1739251724-p6X6SI1hXzrqWRqujymOX0kPzpw9zwdk-0-b05327a7b99df0999969248ac1904d25)
图16.1 Bridgewater的绝对阿尔法累计收益率对比
数据来源:MPI Case Study
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0062.jpg?sign=1739251724-yEHEW9tAeDFAyo9aVOxbkDfUfoi4P8yk-0-47732648c4733fb77f82e44583182b48)
图16.9 长期资本管理基金净值走势